Saturday, November 13, 2010

Phoenix Pit Selections

I never thought in a million years I'd be talking pit stall selections. But after last week's wild and crazy race, pit stall selections have come to the forefront of a hotly-contested Chase race. I will break down the stall selections of the three contenders for the title, starting with the leader, Denny Hamlin.
  • Denny Hamlin: the points leader selected stall #18, behind the 88 team of Dale Earnhardt Jr, and ahead of the 31 team of Jeff Burton. This selection is a crapshoot, particularly if both Jr and Burton are running well. Hamlin could potentially have problems either coming into or going out of the pits, or both. Then again, Hamlin could have clear sailing later in the race, saving precious seconds.
  • Jimmie Johnson: the 48 team selected stall #39, behind the 09 team and ahead of the 98 team of Paul Menard. This is less dangerous than the 11's selection for two reasons: 1) the 09 team is typically a start and park team and Johnson would have clear sailing going OUT of the pits; 2) it's one of the first stalls coming into pit road. Based on this, Johnson has a slight advantage over Hamlin to start, but could be neutralized if Burton and Earnhardt Jr. are off the lead lap.
  • Kevin Harvick: he ended up with a GREAT selection. Here's why: he is behind the #36 and ahead of the #09, both start and park teams. By mid-race, he'll have clear sailing into and out of stall #37. Plus he's two stalls ahead of Johnson, so the #29 crew can play Jedi mind tricks on the #48 crew!

Based on the circumstances, Kevin Harvick has a clear advantage over both Johnson and Hamlin. Of course, things can change in an instant. Harvick could have clear sailing as soon as the first pit stop. This irony cannot be lost: Menard was also behind Johnson at Texas. Something to think about.

5 comments:

Dwindy1 said...

Aren't you afraid once the start and parkers clear out Kevin's crew could get lackadaisical? LOL

Like you say, anything can happen. Too bad NASCAR doesn't put them in order of their cup standings... Then the fans could watch "PIT WARS!"

Thanks jon!

Gene Haddock said...

I think Bobby Labonte is in the #09 this week. They don't start and park with him.

jon_464 said...

Hey Dwindy! LOL! You got that right about the Pit Wars!

Gene, the 09 will be running off the lead lap for much of the race, with or without Bobby Labonte. But if the 09 is on the lead lap, he's in front of JJ and behind Harvick. Blaney will start and park the 36, so Harvick will have clear sailing exiting his pit. But to be honest, I wasn't sure who would be in the 09 this week.

tezgm99 said...

can I just say that if Gordon wins the race by beating Vader out of the pits on the final stop....I might be in danger of cracking some ribs from laughing too hard :P

jon_464 said...

Tez, LOL